Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.065894 0.071158 0.076472 0.082231 0.088288 0.094463 0.101224
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.056422 0.064112 0.072143 0.081128 0.090871 0.101091 0.112592
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.049725 0.059189 0.069380 0.081105 0.094157 0.108177 0.124311
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.044297 0.055068 0.066997 0.081071 0.097103 0.114682 0.135298
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.041593 0.053691 0.067418 0.083959 0.103163 0.124576 0.150070
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.038531 0.051586 0.066745 0.085379 0.107395 0.132319 0.162401
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035755 0.049563 0.065952 0.086472 0.111109 0.139384 0.173928
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032532 0.046732 0.063963 0.085938 0.112741 0.143915 0.182445
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030531 0.045273 0.063513 0.087149 0.116369 0.150740 0.193637
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027940 0.042861 0.061710 0.086544 0.117675 0.154718 0.201408
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026046 0.041232 0.060782 0.086930 0.120118 0.160011 0.210728
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024787 0.040366 0.060763 0.088406 0.123874 0.166880 0.221964
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024521 0.040885 0.062613 0.092380 0.130908 0.177957 0.238574
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021856 0.037869 0.059616 0.089926 0.129703 0.178814 0.242671
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020045 0.035959 0.058012 0.089219 0.130665 0.182324 0.250024
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018489 0.034319 0.056690 0.088809 0.131956 0.186215 0.257843
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018104 0.034417 0.057788 0.091679 0.137559 0.195603 0.272606
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017293 0.033802 0.057830 0.093073 0.141204 0.202509 0.284288
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016452 0.033085 0.057680 0.094170 0.144438 0.208894 0.295341
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015195 0.031616 0.056362 0.093568 0.145346 0.212251 0.302542
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014531 0.031074 0.056381 0.094834 0.148770 0.218881 0.313952
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013421 0.029708 0.055097 0.094182 0.149535 0.222014 0.320865
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.012649 0.028868 0.054571 0.094586 0.151728 0.227014 0.330200